3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,785 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,120/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,415
Tax + insurance
−$450
HOA
−$144
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$445
Net cashflow
$-334/mo
Annual
$-4,012/yr
Cap rate
4.81%
Cash-on-cash
-5.31%
DSCR
0.76
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$75,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $270k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-334 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $222k (17.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $212k (21.4% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $212k (21.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#39 in GA, #4,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Walton County (rural): math 43% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #31 of 174 in GA (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Bay Creek Elementary School (math 43% / reading 39%, grade F, #411 of 1,228 statewide, top 34%, 715 students, 63% FRL); Loganville Middle School (math 46% / reading 48%, grade D+, #89 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 1,320 students, 39% FRL); Loganville High School (math 51% / reading 47%, grade D, #33 of 424 statewide, top 8%, 1,808 students, 30% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 858 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 677 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (17 in 5+ unit buildings).
Walton County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8E1DAZAGPXHE6K
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29