2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
2,668 sqft ·
Built 1908
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 58 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,088/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$327
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$648
Net cashflow
$960/mo
Annual
$11,514/yr
Cap rate
11.53%
Cash-on-cash
18.70%
DSCR
1.83
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $960 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $480/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#58 in PA, #400 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F.
South Williamsport Area SD (suburban): math 29% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #350 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1908 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $220k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $62k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.8% in South Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1908 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29