3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,117 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,934/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$311
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$406
Net cashflow
$483/mo
Annual
$5,800/yr
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.81%
DSCR
1.66
1% rule
1.38%
Cash to close
$39,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($967 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#46 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Profile School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #32 of 171 in NH (top 19%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 487 units permitted in Grafton County in 2024 (127 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grafton County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8GPSPSCT9V9XBR
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29