4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,900 sqft ·
Built 1998
· Manufactured
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,641/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$117
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$345
Net cashflow
$813/mo
Annual
$9,752/yr
Cap rate
20.22%
Cash-on-cash
49.75%
DSCR
3.21
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $813 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
Lincoln Consolidated School District (rural): math 17% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #393 of 540 in MI (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Lincoln Middle School (math 18% / reading 34%, grade F, #383 of 493 statewide, top 78%, 734 students, 56% FRL); Lincoln Senior High School (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #441 of 713 statewide, top 64%, 927 students, 45% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 245 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 3.8% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8HJNVS0SMC1NVQ
· Data 6 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29