4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,452 sqft ·
Built 1915
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$205
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$293
Net cashflow
$731/mo
Annual
$8,775/yr
Cap rate
28.79%
Cash-on-cash
80.36%
DSCR
4.58
1% rule
3.58%
Cash to close
$10,920
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $39k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $731 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $39k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $270 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#771 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
Apollo-Ridge SD (rural): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #425 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 60 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8HPESRC124ASEQ
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29