1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
730 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Condo
· Active
· 71 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,476/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,278
Tax + insurance
−$1,206
HOA
−$760
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$730
Net cashflow
$-2,497/mo
Annual
$-29,966/yr
Cap rate
2.32%
Cash-on-cash
-14.20%
DSCR
0.37
1% rule
0.56%
Cash to close
$175,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $625k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-30k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (70.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $348k (44.4% below list).
It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($588k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $184k (70.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $25k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 22% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 71 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $3,476/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 3992% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 71% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8HZ6SW5NYR68BA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29