4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
2,027 sqft ·
Built 1969
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$506
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$186/mo
Annual
$2,232/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.62%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $186 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#230 in PA, #2,007 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Governor Mifflin SD (suburban): math 31% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #325 of 539 in PA (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Cumru El Sch (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #815 of 1,518 statewide, top 56%, 406 students, 56% FRL); Governor Mifflin Ms (math 18% / reading 51%, grade F, #328 of 512 statewide, top 65%, 629 students, 54% FRL); Governor Mifflin Shs (math 50% / reading 24%, grade F, #288 of 437 statewide, top 66%, 1,480 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 27% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 258 units permitted in Berks County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berks County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $130k (37%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.9% in Shillington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8J1QKAFZBP1K1H
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29