2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 1987
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,793/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$404
Tax + insurance
−$47
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$376
Net cashflow
$965/mo
Annual
$11,579/yr
Cap rate
21.33%
Cash-on-cash
53.71%
DSCR
3.39
1% rule
2.33%
Cash to close
$21,560
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $77k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $965 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $77k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $532 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#88 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Zoned schools: Milton Elementary School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #160 of 192 statewide, top 84%, 631 students, 29% FRL); Milton Middle School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #20 of 26 statewide, top 76%, 389 students, 28% FRL); Milton Senior High School (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #25 of 48 statewide, top 53%, 439 students, 20% FRL).
Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 898 units permitted in Chittenden County in 2024 (554 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chittenden County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $35k; list at $77k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.3% vs local median 2.2% in Milton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8JE6ZQ2RRWEYPT
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29