3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 269 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,458/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$312
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$306
Net cashflow
$-51/mo
Annual
$-611/yr
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.28%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-611/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $161k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (14.2% below list).
It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $146k (14.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#344 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Endeavour Elementary School (math 15% / reading 20%, grade F, #2,117 of 2,144 statewide, top 99%, 717 students, 72% FRL); Cocoa High School (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #529 of 667 statewide, top 80%, 1,551 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 43% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-34 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (23%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29