4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,461 sqft ·
Built 1974
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,639/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,019
Tax + insurance
−$620
HOA
−$81
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$764
Net cashflow
$155/mo
Annual
$1,858/yr
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.72%
DSCR
1.08
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$107,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $385k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $364k (5.5% below list).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($373k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $364k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#532 in PA, #4,925 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tobyhanna El Ctr (math 37% / reading 72%, grade C, #504 of 1,518 statewide, top 37%, 601 students, 61% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Jhs (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #441 of 512 statewide, top 86%, 713 students, 75% FRL); Pocono Mountain West Hs (math 82% / reading 92%, grade A, #8 of 437 statewide, top 2%, 1,512 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 49% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 98 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $165k; list at $385k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.0% in Pocono Pines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8K2BPB9K570M0X
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29