1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,302 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 42 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,059/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$131
Tax + insurance
−$97
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$222
Net cashflow
$609/mo
Annual
$7,303/yr
Cap rate
38.17%
Cash-on-cash
113.85%
DSCR
6.07
1% rule
4.24%
Cash to close
$7,000
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $609 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#199 in NY, #3,083 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living B+; Watch: crime D+, amenities D+, commute F.
Jordan-Elbridge Central School District (rural): math 57% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #277 of 590 in NY (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (36%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $10k; list at $25k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 38.2% vs local median 3.9% in Baldwinsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8KAGF0EQ2KZDGP
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29