6 bd · 1.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1952
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 254 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,768/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$581
Net cashflow
$1,724/mo
Annual
$20,684/yr
Cap rate
37.17%
Cash-on-cash
110.26%
DSCR
5.91
1% rule
4.13%
Cash to close
$18,760
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/0.5-bath units multifamily listed at $67k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($21k/yr) — positive. Per door: $862/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#206 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
Lawton (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 270 in OK (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 404 active listings in the ZIP; 133 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Comanche County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 37.2% vs local median 6.0% in Lawton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,768/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 1986% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The satellite image shows visible damage and wear, indicating a need for replacement or repair.
Major: exterior siding
— The exterior photos show significant wear, with peeling paint and damaged siding.
Major: flooring
— The interior photos show worn and damaged flooring in multiple rooms.
Major: HVAC units
— The listing remarks mention stolen HVAC units, indicating a need for replacement or repair.
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