3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,152 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 57 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,679/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$50
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$352
Net cashflow
$910/mo
Annual
$10,915/yr
Cap rate
21.91%
Cash-on-cash
55.77%
DSCR
3.48
1% rule
2.40%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $910 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Central Dauphin SD (suburban): math 30% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #305 of 539 in PA (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Central Dauphin Shs (math 71% / reading 24%, grade D, #164 of 437 statewide, top 38%, 1,975 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
5 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8KN0P8CGGHA79X
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29