2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
560 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$791/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$406
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$166
Net cashflow
$106/mo
Annual
$1,269/yr
Cap rate
7.93%
Cash-on-cash
5.85%
DSCR
1.26
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$21,700
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $106 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($791 rent vs $78k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($76k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $76k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($536 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#861 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Roma ISD (rural): math 30% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #557 of 826 in TX (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 78 active listings in the ZIP.
Starr County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8KXV1VADVZX8KX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29