1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
666 sqft ·
Built 1965
· Condo
· Active
· 86 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,049/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$506
Tax + insurance
−$95
HOA
−$247
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$-20/mo
Annual
$-235/yr
Cap rate
6.05%
Cash-on-cash
-0.87%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
1.09%
Cash to close
$27,020
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $96k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-20 ($-235/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $93k (3.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $96k).
It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $91k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $667 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mehlville R-IX (suburban): math 31% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #126 of 324 in MO (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $96k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-8MAKESDZM6VW0H
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29