4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,512 sqft ·
Built 1999
· Manufactured
· Active
· 316 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,170/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,363
Tax + insurance
−$329
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$456
Net cashflow
$22/mo
Annual
$264/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.36%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$72,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $260k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $22 ($264/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (16.5% below list).
It's been on market 316 days — a 12% lower offer ($229k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $217k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 550 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask is 12281% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $90k; list at $260k implies a 189% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.9% in On Top of the World — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 316 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8MJ5AV8PFSN6HH
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29