1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
750 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Condo
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,870/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,332
Tax + insurance
−$423
HOA
−$1,015
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$603
Net cashflow
$-503/mo
Annual
$-6,037/yr
Cap rate
3.92%
Cash-on-cash
-8.49%
DSCR
0.62
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$71,120
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $254k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-503 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $254k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($250k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $250k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#263 in NY, #4,136 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D-, cost of living F.
Westbury Union Free School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #531 of 590 in NY (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Powells Lane School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,646 of 2,108 statewide, top 80%, 486 students, 60% FRL); Westbury Middle School (math 5% / reading 32%, grade F, #689 of 729 statewide, top 95%, 1,053 students, 61% FRL); Westbury High School (math 79% / reading 75%, grade A-, #583 of 1,100 statewide, top 56%, 1,541 students, 59% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $216k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 41% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 3.2% in Westbury — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Paint
— Some discoloration on walls
Minor: Flooring
— Some wear on carpet
CashFlowRE · CFR-8N0E5FDJPVJA61
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29