3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,080 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Other
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,243/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$248
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$261
Net cashflow
$26/mo
Annual
$310/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.82%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($310/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $124k (7.9% below list).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $124k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#756 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Lewistown CUSD 97 (rural): math 11% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #546 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Central Elem School (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,056 statewide, top 71%, 350 students, 0% FRL); Lewistown Jr/Sr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 276 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 50% district-wide (50 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fulton County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $67k; list at $135k implies a 101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8P3W183G2Q5THZ
· Data 30 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29