3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,359/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$499
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$495
Net cashflow
$-207/mo
Annual
$-2,490/yr
Cap rate
5.46%
Cash-on-cash
-2.97%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-207 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $263k (12.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $236k (21.3% below list).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $236k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#303 in PA, #2,675 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A-, housing A-; Watch: commute F.
Derry Township SD (suburban): math 74% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #15 of 539 in PA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 16% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hershey Primary El Sch (math 72% / reading 67%, grade A-, #151 of 1,518 statewide, top 12%, 447 students, 23% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents flat; 106 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 540 units permitted in Dauphin County in 2024 (194 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Hershey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8P45G22599XBZF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29