11530 Blackberry Ln

Kirtland, OH 44026

$484,900F

3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,324 sqft · Built 1988 · SingleFamily · Pending · 4 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $3,115/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,543
• Tax + insurance: −$778
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$654
• Net cashflow: $-860/mo
• Annual: $-10,323/yr
• Cap rate: 4.16%
• Cash-on-cash: -7.60%
• DSCR: 0.66
• 1% rule: 0.64%
• Cash to close: $135,772

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $485k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-860 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $333k (31.3% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $312k (35.8% below list).
• Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Recommended offer: $312k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 80/100 on livability (#109 in OH, #1,647 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• West Geauga Local (rural): math 83% / reading 86% proficiency, ranked #28 of 656 in OH (top 4%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Robert C Lindsey Elementary School (math 92% / reading 88%, grade A+, #19 of 1,584 statewide, top 1%, 461 students, 10% FRL); West Geauga Middle School (math 80% / reading 82%, grade A+, #38 of 654 statewide, top 6%, 491 students, 10% FRL); West Geauga High School (math 67% / reading 92%, grade A-, #35 of 781 statewide, top 6%, 693 students, 8% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 220 units permitted in Geauga County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Geauga County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 3.2% in Kirtland — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
• This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($107k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.