9 bd · 6.0 ba ·
3,750 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$8,871/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,667
Tax + insurance
−$1,483
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,863
Net cashflow
$857/mo
Annual
$10,290/yr
Cap rate
7.45%
Cash-on-cash
4.13%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$249,200
Investor read
This is a 3 × 3-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $890k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $857 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $286/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $887k (0.3% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($877k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $877k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $33k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#343 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, amenities A-; Watch: housing D+, crime F, employment D-.
Newark Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #452 of 472 in NJ (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Lafayette Street School (math 10% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,049 of 1,303 statewide, top 81%, 1,180 students, 90% FRL); East Side High School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #357 of 399 statewide, top 90%, 2,255 students, 77% FRL) — zoned schools at 84% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 3,364 units permitted in Essex County in 2024 (2,551 in 5+ unit buildings).
Essex County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $720k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $249k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.0% in Newark — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8Q4VSRA1V5QZPY
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29