3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,312 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Manufactured
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,775/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$176
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$373
Net cashflow
$492/mo
Annual
$5,902/yr
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.06%
DSCR
1.67
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $492 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#93 in WA, #1,822 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Spokane School District (urban): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #136 of 291 in WA (top 47%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Arlington Elementary (399 students, 84% FRL); Rogers High School (1,536 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 50% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.5%/yr); 208 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 3.2% in Spokane — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29