2 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,700 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,455/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,613
Tax + insurance
−$961
HOA
−$708
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,565
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,287/yr
Cap rate
7.35%
Cash-on-cash
3.78%
DSCR
1.17
1% rule
1.08%
Cash to close
$192,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.5-bath townhouse listed at $689k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $689k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($668k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $668k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#528 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A, commute B; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Hastings-On-Hudson Union Free School District (suburban): math 79% / reading 88% proficiency, ranked #27 of 590 in NY (top 5%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 3% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Hillside Elementary School (math 89% / reading 87%, grade A+, #64 of 2,108 statewide, top 3%, 564 students, 0% FRL); Farragut Middle School (math 67% / reading 84%, grade A, #51 of 729 statewide, top 7%, 527 students, 0% FRL); Hastings High School (math 98% / reading 98%, grade A+, #19 of 1,100 statewide, top 4%, 519 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 0% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $430k; list at $689k implies a 60% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.3% in Yonkers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8QARYYC415KAGA
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29