3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,059 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$67
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$214
Net cashflow
$240/mo
Annual
$2,886/yr
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.85%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $240 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#69 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Warren School District (town): math 26% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #198 of 238 in AR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warren Middle School (math 38% / reading 24%, grade F, #135 of 201 statewide, top 68%, 359 students, 100% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 66% district-wide (34 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP.
Bradley County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $95k implies a 428% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8QPN3H22R47ZH5
· Data 5 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29