2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
820 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,759/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$410
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$369
Net cashflow
$403/mo
Annual
$4,832/yr
Cap rate
10.69%
Cash-on-cash
15.69%
DSCR
1.70
1% rule
1.60%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $403 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: East Syracuse Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 363 students, 70% FRL); Pine Grove Middle School (math 29% / reading 49%, grade F, #433 of 729 statewide, top 60%, 672 students, 43% FRL); East Syracuse Minoa Central High School (math 97% / reading 87%, grade A+, #171 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,183 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 58% FRL vs 29% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 61 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $110k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 6.8% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29