1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
646 sqft ·
Built 1990
· Condo
· Active
· 32 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,133/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,042
Tax + insurance
−$967
HOA
−$1,807
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,078
Net cashflow
$-1,760/mo
Annual
$-21,125/yr
Cap rate
2.65%
Cash-on-cash
-13.01%
DSCR
0.42
1% rule
0.88%
Cash to close
$162,400
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $580k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-21k/yr) — negative.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $513k (11.5% below list).
It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $513k (11.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $29k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Watch-outs: HOA is 35% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,467 units permitted in New York County in 2024 (4,463 in 5+ unit buildings).
New York County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29