3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,248 sqft ·
Built 1980
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,322/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$278
Net cashflow
$540/mo
Annual
$6,478/yr
Cap rate
15.55%
Cash-on-cash
33.05%
DSCR
2.47
1% rule
1.89%
Cash to close
$19,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $70k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#631 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Halifax County Schools (rural): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #177 of 178 in NC (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Halifax County Early College High (math 75% / reading 70%, grade B+, #106 of 535 statewide, top 20%, 128 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 82% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 15% district-wide (+57 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Halifax County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 55 units permitted in Halifax County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Halifax County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.1% in Roanoke Rapids — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8V2KCR7QGKY3QF
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29