3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1956
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,535/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$514
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$532
Net cashflow
$-216/mo
Annual
$-2,594/yr
Cap rate
5.49%
Cash-on-cash
-2.85%
DSCR
0.87
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $325k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $287k (11.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($306k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $253k (22.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#40 in MN, #1,110 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living D-.
Hopkins Public School District (suburban): math 48% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #75 of 301 in MN (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Meadowbrook Elementary (math 59% / reading 68%, grade B, #162 of 857 statewide, top 19%, 854 students, 22% FRL); Hopkins North Junior High (math 42% / reading 61%, grade C, #65 of 258 statewide, top 26%, 888 students, 40% FRL); Hopkins Senior High (math 52% / reading 63%, grade C, #59 of 471 statewide, top 13%, 1,491 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 34% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $125k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 2.8% in Golden Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($93k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29