3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1978
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 122 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$656
Tax + insurance
−$149
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$793/mo
Annual
$9,516/yr
Cap rate
13.91%
Cash-on-cash
27.19%
DSCR
2.21
1% rule
1.62%
Cash to close
$35,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $793 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in LA, #2,414 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D.
Jefferson Parish (suburban): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #44 of 98 in LA (top 45%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: John James Audubon School (math 22% / reading 35%, grade F, #350 of 646 statewide, top 55%, 648 students, 61% FRL); John Q. Adams Middle School (math 22% / reading 36%, grade F, #117 of 218 statewide, top 54%, 900 students, 55% FRL); Bonnabel Magnet Academy High School (math 12% / reading 21%, grade F, #214 of 265 statewide, top 81%, 1,478 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.2%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 80d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 518 units permitted in Jefferson Parish in 2024 (43 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $125k implies a 138% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 5.5% in Kenner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Flooring
— The carpeted flooring is visibly worn and in poor condition.
Major: Interior walls
— The interior walls show signs of discoloration and minor wear.
Major: HVAC system
— The HVAC system appears to be in poor condition, with visible signs of wear and tear.
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· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29