64 bd · 32.0 ba ·
3,492 sqft ·
Built 1959
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$28,877/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,702
Tax + insurance
−$2,387
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$6,064
Net cashflow
$10,724/mo
Annual
$128,690/yr
Cap rate
13.25%
Cash-on-cash
24.84%
DSCR
2.11
1% rule
1.56%
Cash to close
$518,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 8-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.85M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($129k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($29k rent vs $1.85M).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.79M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.79M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $13k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $56k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#174 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, employment A, commute A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Luther Burbank (suburban): math 29% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #937 of 1,400 in CA (top 67%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Luther Burbank Elementary (422 students, 83% FRL); Del Mar High (math 22% / reading 58%, grade F, #514 of 1,170 statewide, top 44%, 1,293 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools at 76% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 64 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 3,838 units permitted in Santa Clara County in 2024 (1,886 in 5+ unit buildings).
Santa Clara County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $448k; list at $1.85M implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $518k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 1.8% in Burbank — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8VWTB2F32QPNTG
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29