2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
872 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Condo
· Active
· 201 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,463/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$770
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$140
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$4/mo
Annual
$50/yr
Cap rate
6.33%
Cash-on-cash
0.12%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$41,132
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $147k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4 ($50/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (0.4% below list).
It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $129k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#29 in WI, #574 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
Oshkosh Area School District (urban): math 33% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #246 of 342 in WI (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Traeger Elementary (math 59% / reading 51%, grade C, #159 of 1,041 statewide, top 16%, 439 students, 20% FRL); Traeger Middle (math 49% / reading 50%, grade C, #57 of 383 statewide, top 15%, 431 students, 16% FRL); West High (math 41% / reading 52%, grade D-, #55 of 483 statewide, top 11%, 1,627 students, 29% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 34% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Oshkosh Area School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 652 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (333 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $57k; list at $147k implies a 158% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Oshkosh — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8W4RYN4ACJ29QR
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29