Justin Plan

Cade, LA 70560

$250,500B

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,874 sqft · Built — · SingleFamily · Active · 919 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $4,000/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,307
• Tax + insurance: −$415
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$840
• Net cashflow: $1,437/mo
• Annual: $17,247/yr
• Cap rate: 13.21%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.71%
• DSCR: 2.10
• 1% rule: 1.60%
• Cash to close: $69,798

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k. Condition is rated excellent.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $250k).
• It's been on market 919 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 53/100 on livability (#389 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Iberia Parish (other): math 32% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 98 in LA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 94 units permitted in Iberia Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Iberia County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 13.2% vs local median 5.3% in Cade — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 919 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.