3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,216 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 72 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,813/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$174
HOA
−$20
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$381
Net cashflow
$295/mo
Annual
$3,542/yr
Cap rate
8.26%
Cash-on-cash
7.03%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $295 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($169k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $169k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#189 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
Pueblo County School District 70 (suburban): math 24% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #40 of 86 in CO (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Prairie Winds Elementary School (math 24% / reading 27%, grade F, #594 of 966 statewide, top 62%, 500 students, 47% FRL); Sky View Middle School (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #106 of 270 statewide, top 42%, 577 students, 41% FRL); Pueblo West High School (math 23% / reading 52%, grade F, #192 of 381 statewide, top 51%, 1,484 students, 40% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 650 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 269 units permitted in Pueblo County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pueblo County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $44k; list at $180k implies a 304% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.5% in Pueblo West — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8WX89E4R3H273S
· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29