1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 2016
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 118 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$928/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$471
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$195
Net cashflow
$179/mo
Annual
$2,148/yr
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.53%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.03%
Cash to close
$25,172
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($928 rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#262 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Durant (town): math 30% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #49 of 270 in OK (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Washington Irving Es (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #132 of 845 statewide, top 19%, 435 students, 0% FRL); Durant Intermediate Es (math 24% / reading 36%, grade F, #49 of 345 statewide, top 15%, 615 students, 0% FRL); Durant Hs (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 956 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 55% district-wide (55 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 311 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Bryan County in 2024 (80 in 5+ unit buildings).
Bryan County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $90k implies a 566% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.1% in Durant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8XWT5Q4YDXVHPA
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29