2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
989 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Condo
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$205
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$216
Net cashflow
$-16/mo
Annual
$-191/yr
Cap rate
6.08%
Cash-on-cash
-0.76%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
1.14%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $90k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-16 ($-191/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $88k (2.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Genesee School District (suburban): math 14% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #464 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $77k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8XYWB97EFC7DYT
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29