4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,395 sqft ·
Built 1970
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,873/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$314
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$393
Net cashflow
$-35/mo
Annual
$-421/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.66%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-421/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $187k (18.2% below list).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $187k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#124 in MI, #3,067 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime D+.
Wayne-Westland Community School District (suburban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #474 of 540 in MI (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Pd Graham Elementary School (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,035 of 1,397 statewide, top 77%, 404 students, 59% FRL); Adlai Stevenson Middle School (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #408 of 493 statewide, top 84%, 678 students, 55% FRL); John Glenn High School (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #402 of 713 statewide, top 56%, 1,542 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $229k implies a 340% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.4% in Westland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8XZZT184CJ54K1
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29