2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
752 sqft ·
Built 1951
· Other
· Pending
· 69 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$843/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$168
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$177
Net cashflow
$385/mo
Annual
$4,622/yr
Cap rate
20.74%
Cash-on-cash
51.59%
DSCR
3.30
1% rule
2.63%
Cash to close
$8,960
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $32k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $385 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($843 rent vs $32k).
It's been on market 69 days — a 6% lower offer ($30k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $30k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($221 loan paydown + $960 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#86 in ND) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools B; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
Hebron 13 (rural): math 55% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in ND (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 15 active listings in the ZIP; 94 units permitted in Morton County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morton County population projected at +48% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $14k; list at $32k implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 69 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8YGAA3CA32SGFS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29