8 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,825 sqft ·
Built 1872
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,504/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,626
Tax + insurance
−$530
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$946
Net cashflow
$1,403/mo
Annual
$16,833/yr
Cap rate
11.72%
Cash-on-cash
19.39%
DSCR
1.86
1% rule
1.45%
Cash to close
$86,800
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $701/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $310k).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($273k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $273k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1872 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $145k; list at $310k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,504/mo this rent would consume 117% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 3400% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1872 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29