2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
640 sqft ·
Built 1916
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$830/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$189
Tax + insurance
−$60
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$174
Net cashflow
$407/mo
Annual
$4,882/yr
Cap rate
19.85%
Cash-on-cash
48.43%
DSCR
3.16
1% rule
2.31%
Cash to close
$10,080
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($830 rent vs $36k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($35k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $35k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($249 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#736 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Armstrong SD (rural): math 38% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #233 of 539 in PA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen cabinets
— severely dated and worn
Major: bathroom fixtures
— outdated and possibly leaking
Moderate: roof shingles
— visible wear and tear
Minor: exterior siding
— some peeling paint
Major: flooring
— worn and damaged
Major: paint
— dated and peeling
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· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29