4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,396 sqft ·
Built 2014
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,197/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,442
Tax + insurance
−$458
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$461
Net cashflow
$-165/mo
Annual
$-1,977/yr
Cap rate
5.57%
Cash-on-cash
-2.57%
DSCR
0.89
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$77,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-165 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $251k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (20.1% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $220k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#114 in FL, #1,755 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: South Daytona Elementary School (math 43% / reading 44%, grade F, #1,345 of 2,144 statewide, top 64%, 779 students, 77% FRL); Silver Sands Middle School (math 50% / reading 52%, grade C, #237 of 571 statewide, top 43%, 1,165 students, 54% FRL); Atlantic High School (math 24% / reading 46%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,266 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.0%/yr); 280 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $23k; list at $275k implies a 1101% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $2,197/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($57k/yr) (locally 1158% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-8ZEWV72PZ1V5X4
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29