4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,640 sqft ·
Built 1904
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,043/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$205
Tax + insurance
−$164
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$429
Net cashflow
$1,245/mo
Annual
$14,944/yr
Cap rate
44.61%
Cash-on-cash
136.85%
DSCR
7.09
1% rule
5.24%
Cash to close
$10,920
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $39k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $623/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $39k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($38k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $38k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($270 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Glenwood Elementary School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,584 statewide, top 98%, 300 students, 0% FRL); Jesup W. Scott High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #726 of 781 statewide, top 94%, 736 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.6% of price; built in 1904 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 44.6% vs local median 7.7% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $2,043/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($38k/yr) (locally 16% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1904 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29