33 bd · 16.5 ba ·
3,510 sqft ·
Built 1961
· MultiFamily
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,331/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,042
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,590
Net cashflow
$6,158/mo
Annual
$73,899/yr
Cap rate
19.03%
Cash-on-cash
45.50%
DSCR
3.02
1% rule
2.13%
Cash to close
$162,400
Investor read
This is a 11 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $580k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($74k/yr) — positive. Per door: $560/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $580k).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in MT, #2,473 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment C-, crime F.
Great Falls H S (urban): math 27% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #79 of 116 in MT (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.5%/yr); 49 active listings in the ZIP; 223 units permitted in Cascade County in 2024 (37 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cascade County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.5% rent growth), your $162k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 19.0% vs local median 3.5% in Great Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $12,331/mo this rent would consume 268% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 531% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-91HFNEAM6BESNW
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29