2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
842 sqft ·
Built 2002
· Condo
· Active
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,665/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,914
Tax + insurance
−$285
HOA
−$834
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$770
Net cashflow
$-138/mo
Annual
$-1,656/yr
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.62%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.00%
Cash to close
$102,189
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $365k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-138 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $341k (6.7% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $365k).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($321k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $321k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Francis S.Tucker K-8 Center (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,403 of 2,144 statewide, top 67%, 305 students, 69% FRL); Ponce De Leon Middle School (math 36% / reading 55%, grade D+, #305 of 571 statewide, top 54%, 888 students, 60% FRL); Coral Gables Senior High School (math 31% / reading 53%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 2,824 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.7%/yr); 225 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,665/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 1517% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-91KFK8CNVEC565
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29