3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,154 sqft ·
Built 1944
· Condo
· Active
· 772 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,500/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$275
HOA
−$400
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$315
Net cashflow
$-356/mo
Annual
$-4,266/yr
Cap rate
3.71%
Cash-on-cash
-9.23%
DSCR
0.59
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-356 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $114k (31.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (9.1% below list).
It's been on market 772 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#5 in AL, #1,730 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
Homewood City (suburban): math 55% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #3 of 129 in AL (top 2%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Shades Cahaba Elementary School (math 48% / reading 70%, grade B-, #67 of 627 statewide, top 11%, 501 students, 24% FRL); Homewood Middle School (math 52% / reading 76%, grade B+, #5 of 257 statewide, top 2%, 926 students, 30% FRL); Homewood High School (math 62% / reading 63%, grade B-, #4 of 305 statewide, top 1%, 1,330 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools at 27% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 27% of rent; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.3%/yr); 143 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 82d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.3% in Homewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 772 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
CashFlowRE · CFR-91P7VM3A6XXMVA
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29