3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,728 sqft ·
Built 1907
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,027/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,097
Tax + insurance
−$528
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$846
Net cashflow
$556/mo
Annual
$6,672/yr
Cap rate
7.96%
Cash-on-cash
5.96%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$111,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath multifamily listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $556 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#87 in CT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Ansonia School District (suburban): math 13% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #144 of 153 in CT (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Ansonia High School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #139 of 194 statewide, top 74%, 555 students, 60% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 51 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $130k; list at $400k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.8% in Ansonia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,027/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($86k/yr) (locally 541% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-91R9FJ9D10W30Z
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29