14 bd · 7.0 ba ·
4,836 sqft ·
Built 1965
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 235 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,077/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$7,080
Tax + insurance
−$1,973
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,746
Net cashflow
$1,279/mo
Annual
$15,342/yr
Cap rate
7.43%
Cash-on-cash
4.06%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$378,000
Investor read
This is a 5 × 3-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.35M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $256/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.31M (3.1% below list).
It's been on market 235 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.19M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.19M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $9k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $40k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Murchison Street Elementary (361 students, 98% FRL); El Sereno Middle (862 students, 91% FRL); Woodrow Wilson Senior High (math 23% / reading 59%, grade F, #502 of 1,170 statewide, top 43%, 1,406 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 94% FRL vs 67% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
6 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $230k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $13,077/mo this rent would consume 263% of the median local household income ($60k/yr) (locally 3159% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 235 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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