3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,320 sqft ·
Built 1996
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 3 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,127/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$43
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$447
Net cashflow
$23/mo
Annual
$280/yr
Cap rate
6.40%
Cash-on-cash
0.40%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($280/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (14.9% below list).
Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $213k (14.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#74 in MD, #2,689 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F.
Cecil County Public Schools (rural): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #15 of 24 in MD (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bainbridge Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #550 of 860 statewide, top 66%, 304 students, 67% FRL); Perryville Middle (math 9% / reading 33%, grade F, #134 of 225 statewide, top 62%, 557 students, 50% FRL); Perryville High (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D-, #114 of 222 statewide, top 52%, 858 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools average 54% FRL vs 37% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 563 units permitted in Cecil County in 2024 (330 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 20y ago; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.2% in Perryville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-9223786429EQ5S
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29