1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
722 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,034/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$409
Tax + insurance
−$278
HOA
−$300
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$217
Net cashflow
$-170/mo
Annual
$-2,043/yr
Cap rate
4.69%
Cash-on-cash
-5.71%
DSCR
0.75
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$21,812
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $78k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-170 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $48k (38.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $78k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $48k (38.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($539 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clear Creek ISD (suburban): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #114 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: G H Whitcomb El (math 35% / reading 40%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 630 students, 73% FRL); Clear Lake Int (math 39% / reading 44%, grade F, #595 of 1,662 statewide, top 37%, 832 students, 54% FRL); Clear Lake H S (math 57% / reading 65%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,533 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 25% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 210 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
CashFlowRE · CFR-92CBB87TQGX0E8
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29