1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
761 sqft ·
Built 1909
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 14 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$883/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$467
Tax + insurance
−$107
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$125/mo
Annual
$1,495/yr
Cap rate
7.97%
Cash-on-cash
6.00%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$24,920
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $125 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (0.7% below list).
Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $88k (0.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#10 in KS, #1,501 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, commute F.
Hays (town): math 36% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #27 of 169 in KS (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1909 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 144 active listings in the ZIP; 34 units permitted in Ellis County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ellis County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1909 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-92CYX52EJ5Z08D
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29