4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,530 sqft ·
Built 1960
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 31 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,097/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,547
Tax + insurance
−$303
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$650
Net cashflow
$596/mo
Annual
$7,156/yr
Cap rate
8.72%
Cash-on-cash
8.66%
DSCR
1.39
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$82,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $295k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive. Per door: $298/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $295k).
It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($286k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $286k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#47 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Barrow County (rural): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #77 of 174 in GA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Holsenbeck Elementary School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #474 of 1,228 statewide, top 39%, 823 students, 57% FRL); Russell Middle School (math 30% / reading 38%, grade F, #201 of 470 statewide, top 44%, 931 students, 52% FRL); Winder-Barrow High School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #250 of 424 statewide, top 60%, 1,787 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 566 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 46% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,427 units permitted in Barrow County in 2024 (311 in 5+ unit buildings).
Barrow County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
11 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.9% in Winder — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,097/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 622% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-92V00WA7HH6R8K
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29